Hi,
It suddenly came to my head – are we going into war rounds with Iran. Is this war might not be only the 2nd Iran war, but the second of a long series of wars. Wars that we will have to suffer every several months?
Iran will rebuild its ballistic missile arsenal in this time. We, in Israel, we fill in our emptying intercepting missile arsenal, maintain our aircraft IAF fleet and air ground missile – and we will start again:
Iran will bomb Israel with ballistic missiles. Most of them will be intercepted, but some will manage to pass and land in populated areas causing destruction and kill civilians. IAF will fly over Iran – causing damage to regime symbols and hunts down missile launcher.
We might be with the same situation we are in Gaza strip with Hamas. But instead with a near by enemy with ground border between us, we will have a war with and enemy dozens of hundred of km away.
Both Hamas ans Hezbollah are proxies and we are on those rounds of war with them for decades. As well as other militants group in the area (Syria, Iran and Yemen).
This war and the recent Am Kelavi, are direct wars with Iran itself and not with its proxies. But with Iran, those wars will have economic effects as it may change the global economic, including, but not only – the cost of the oil that effects everything in the world.
Are we going down this path? Periods of uneasy quiet, followed by rounds of escalation and back again? Without a real solution to this problem? Only time will tell…
Take Care
Gad
Damage to buildings in Arad, from this Saturday night
A drone video of damage caused to the building around the hit point (Source: Ilan Rosenberg)